Can You Trust the Probability? Testing a Decision Model on 77 PubMed Papers
A decision model's probability is not how sure it is. On 77 PubMed papers, see how to check calibration and set a threshold from coverage and accuracy.
A decision model's probability is not how sure it is. On 77 PubMed papers, see how to check calibration and set a threshold from coverage and accuracy.
A decision model reads the logits of listed options after one forward pass and turns them into probabilities. Jev discloses RLCD but not its loss; open replicas publish their heads.
On one RTX 4060 Ti 16GB and one frozen set of 700 items, Ridge, OrcaSAQ-2, and Ternary Bonsai 2 scored 78.4%, 77.6%, and 74.6%. Wall clocks were 47.55, 62.59, and 34.01 minutes. This compares three deployments, not one set of weights.
A decision model returns a probability for every pre-listed option in one forward pass and writes no text. Here is how it differs from LLM JSON output, where Jev and Clef stand, and when not to use one.
On an RTX 4060 Ti 16GB seat, Prism Ternary Bonsai 2 27B (PQ2_0) was scored against a same-box Qwen3.8 dense daily model across short functional gates, long-context needles, and tool loops before a stable default alias pointed at the ternary engine.
DeepMind’s AlphaGenome Atlas precomputes molecular effects for about nine billion possible single-letter DNA changes and ranks them with AVI scores. A research traffic map, not a clinical diagnosis.
From acceleration knobs and extreme quantization to a nine-model comparison, a large-sample retest at month's end reshuffled the entire leaderboard. A record of a broken yardstick, small-sample error bars, and the current division of labor between pi and local models.
I benchmarked five 4-bit local models on a single M4 Pro (48GB) with oMLX across eight benchmarks, mapped the speed/quality sweet spot, and calibrated which cloud generation they match. Plus a field report on three speculative-decoding traps (MTP / dflash / specprefill) and the cache trade-off that decides them.
Auto-Quant lets LLMs autonomously iterate on FreqTrade strategies via backtesting loops. Interesting autoresearch concept, but deeply locked into crypto trading infrastructure. Only useful if you live in the FreqTrade ecosystem.
Starting from the everyday experience of watching ChatGPT type out words one by one, this article uses six everyday analogies to break down KV Cache, Paged Attention, Flash Attention, GQA, Continuous Batching, and Speculative Decoding — explaining how large language models serve more users faster on the same GPU.